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Kasraei, A., Garmabaki, A. H., Odelius, J., Famurewa, S. M., Chamkhorami, K. S. & Strandberg, G. (2024). Climate change impacts assessment on railway infrastructure in urban environments. Sustainable cities and society, 101, Article ID 105084.
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Climate change impacts assessment on railway infrastructure in urban environments
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2024 (English)In: Sustainable cities and society, ISSN 2210-6707, Vol. 101, article id 105084Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Climate change impacts can escalate the deteriorating rate of infrastructures and impact the infrastructure’s functionality, safety, operation and maintenance (O&M). This research explores climate change’s influence on urban railway infrastructure. Given the geographical diversity of Sweden, the railway network is divided into different climate zones utilizing the K-means algorithm. Reliability analysis using the Cox Proportional Hazard Model is proposed to integrate meteorological parameters and operational factors to predict the degree of impacts of different climatic parameters on railway infrastructure assets. The proposed methodology is validated by selecting a number of switches and crossings (S&Cs), which are critical components in railways for changing the route, located in different urban railway stations across various climate zones in Sweden. The study explores various databases and proposes a climatic feature to identify climate-related risks of S&C assets. Furthermore, different meteorological covariates are analyzed to understand better the dependency between asset health and meteorological parameters. Infrastructure asset managers can tailor suitable climate adaptation measures based on geographical location, asset age, and other life cycle parameters by identifying vulnerable assets and determining significant covariates. Sensitivity analysis of significant covariates at one of the urban railway stations shows precipitation increment reveal considerable variation in the asset reliability.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Elsevier, 2024
Keywords
Climate change adaptation, Reliability analysis, Cox proportional hazard model, Railway infrastructure
National Category
Other Civil Engineering Meteorology and Atmospheric Sciences
Research subject
Operation and Maintenance Engineering
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:ltu:diva-103152 (URN)10.1016/j.scs.2023.105084 (DOI)001128086800001 ()2-s2.0-85178449130 (Scopus ID)
Funder
Vinnova, 2021- 02456, 2019-03181The Kempe Foundations, JCK-2215
Note

Validerad;2023;Nivå 2;2023-12-04 (joosat);

License full text: CC BY 4.0

Available from: 2023-12-04 Created: 2023-12-04 Last updated: 2025-02-01Bibliographically approved
Qarahasanlou, A. N., Garmabaki, A. H., Kasraei, A. & Barabady, J. (2024). Climate Change Impacts on Mining Value Chain: A Systematic Literature Review. In: International Congress and Workshop on Industrial AI and eMaintenance 2023: . Paper presented at 7th International Congress and Workshop on Industrial AI and eMaintenance, IAI 2023,Luleå,Sweden,June 13-15,2023 (pp. 115-128). Springer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbH
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Climate Change Impacts on Mining Value Chain: A Systematic Literature Review
2024 (English)In: International Congress and Workshop on Industrial AI and eMaintenance 2023, Springer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbH , 2024, p. 115-128Conference paper, Published paper (Other academic)
Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Springer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbH, 2024
Series
Lecture Notes in Mechanical Engineering, ISSN 2195-4356, E-ISSN 2195-4364
National Category
Construction Management
Research subject
Operation and Maintenance Engineering
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:ltu:diva-103877 (URN)10.1007/978-3-031-39619-9_9 (DOI)2-s2.0-85181979716 (Scopus ID)
Conference
7th International Congress and Workshop on Industrial AI and eMaintenance, IAI 2023,Luleå,Sweden,June 13-15,2023
Available from: 2024-01-23 Created: 2024-01-23 Last updated: 2025-02-14Bibliographically approved
Kasraei, A., Garmabaki, A. H., Odelius, J., Famurewa, S. M. & Kumar, U. (2024). Climate Zone Reliability Analysis of Railway Assets. In: International Congress and Workshop on Industrial AI and eMaintenance 2023: . Paper presented at 7th International Congress and Workshop on Industrial AI and eMaintenance, IAI 2023, Luleå, Sweden, June 13-15, 2023 (pp. 221-235). Springer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbH
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Climate Zone Reliability Analysis of Railway Assets
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2024 (English)In: International Congress and Workshop on Industrial AI and eMaintenance 2023, Springer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbH , 2024, p. 221-235Conference paper, Published paper (Other academic)
Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Springer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbH, 2024
Series
Lecture Notes in Mechanical Engineering, ISSN 2195-4356, E-ISSN 2195-4364
National Category
Infrastructure Engineering Reliability and Maintenance
Research subject
Operation and Maintenance Engineering
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:ltu:diva-103882 (URN)10.1007/978-3-031-39619-9_16 (DOI)2-s2.0-85181981181 (Scopus ID)
Conference
7th International Congress and Workshop on Industrial AI and eMaintenance, IAI 2023, Luleå, Sweden, June 13-15, 2023
Funder
VinnovaThe Kempe Foundations
Available from: 2024-01-23 Created: 2024-01-23 Last updated: 2024-08-15Bibliographically approved
Qarahasanlou, A. N., Garmabaki, A. S., Kasraei, A. & Barabady, J. (2024). Deciphering climate change impacts on resource extraction supply chain: a systematic review. International Journal of Systems Assurance Engineering and Management
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Deciphering climate change impacts on resource extraction supply chain: a systematic review
2024 (English)In: International Journal of Systems Assurance Engineering and Management, ISSN 0975-6809, E-ISSN 0976-4348Article, review/survey (Refereed) Epub ahead of print
Abstract [en]

Mining is becoming increasingly vulnerable to the effects of climate change (CC). The vulnerability stems from changing weather patterns, leading to extreme weather events that can cause damage to equipment, infrastructure, and mining facilities and disrupt operations. The new demand from governments and international agreements has placed additional pressure on mining industries to update their policies in order to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and adapt to CC. This includes implementing carbon pricing systems, utilizing renewable energy, and focusing on sustainable development. Most mining and exploration industries prioritize reducing mining’s impact on climate change rather than adapting to extreme weather events. Therefore, it is important to study and investigate the impacts of climate change on the mining sector. This paper aims to investigate the challenges and strategies for adapting to and mitigating the impacts of climate change on mining through a systematic literature review. The results indicate that the majority of proposed models and strategies in the mining field are still in the conceptual phase, with fewer practical implementations. It has been identified that there is a requirement for long-term planning, improved risk management plans, and increased awareness and education within the industry. Practical strategies such as integrating renewable energy, enhancing operational safety, and improving water and tailings management have been recognized as crucial for effective climate change adaptation and mitigation.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Springer Nature, 2024
Keywords
Adaptation, Climate change, Mining, Mitigation
National Category
Other Civil Engineering Climate Science
Research subject
Operation and Maintenance Engineering
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:ltu:diva-108474 (URN)10.1007/s13198-024-02398-5 (DOI)001280684000001 ()2-s2.0-85200042338 (Scopus ID)
Note

Full text license: CC BY

Available from: 2024-08-07 Created: 2024-08-07 Last updated: 2025-02-01
Soleimani-Chamkhorami, K., Karbalaie, A., Kasraei, A., Haghighi, E., Famurewa, S. M. & Garmabaki, A. (2024). Identifying climate-related failures in railway infrastructure using machine learning. Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment, 135, Article ID 104371.
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Identifying climate-related failures in railway infrastructure using machine learning
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2024 (English)In: Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment, ISSN 1361-9209, E-ISSN 1879-2340, Vol. 135, article id 104371Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Climate change impacts pose challenges to a dependable operation of railway infrastructure assets, thus necessitating understanding and mitigating its effects. This study proposes a machine learning framework to distinguish between climatic and non-climatic failures in railway infrastructure. The maintenance data of turnout assets from Sweden’s railway were collected and integrated with asset design, geographical and meteorological parameters. Various machine learning algorithms were employed to classify failures across multiple time horizons. The Random Forest model demonstrated a high accuracy of 0.827 and stable F1-scores across all time horizons. The study identified minimum-temperature and quantity of snow and rain prior to the event as the most influential factors. The 24-hour time horizon prior to failure emerged as the most effective time window for the classification. The practical implications and applications include enhancement of maintenance and renewal process, supporting more effective resource allocation, and implementing climate adaptation measures towards resilience railway infrastructure management.

 

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Elsevier, 2024
Keywords
Climate Change, Environmental Impact, Switches and Crossing, Railway Infrastructure, Climate-related Failure Classification
National Category
Other Civil Engineering
Research subject
Operation and Maintenance Engineering
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:ltu:diva-109153 (URN)10.1016/j.trd.2024.104371 (DOI)001300892500001 ()2-s2.0-85201648279 (Scopus ID)
Funder
Swedish Research Council Formas, 2022-00835The Kempe Foundations, JCK-3123
Note

Validerad;2024;Nivå 2;2024-09-24 (signyg);

Fulltext license: CC BY

Available from: 2024-09-24 Created: 2024-09-24 Last updated: 2024-11-20Bibliographically approved
Famurewa, S., Kirilmaz, E., Chamkhorami, K. S., Kasraei, A. & Garmabaki, A. H. (2024). LCC-based approach for design and requirement specification for railway track system. International Journal of Systems Assurance Engineering and Management
Open this publication in new window or tab >>LCC-based approach for design and requirement specification for railway track system
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2024 (English)In: International Journal of Systems Assurance Engineering and Management, ISSN 0975-6809, E-ISSN 0976-4348Article in journal (Refereed) Epub ahead of print
Abstract [en]

Life cycle cost (LCC) analysis is an important tool for effective infrastructure management. It is an essential decision support methodology for selection, design, development, construction, maintenance and renewal of railway infrastructure system. Effective implementation of LCC analysis will assure cost-effective operation of railways from both investment and life-cycle perspectives. A major setback in the successful implementation of LCC analysis by infrastructure managers is the availability of relevant, reliable, and structured data. Different cost estimation methods and prediction models have been developed to deal with this challenge. However, there is a need to include condition degradation models as an integral part of LCC model to account for possible changes in the model variables. This article presents an approach for integrating degradation models with LCC model to study the impact of change in design speed on key decision criteria such as track possession time, service life of track system, and LCC. The methodology is applied to an ongoing railway investment project in Sweden to investigate and quantify the impact of design speed change from 250 to 320 km/h. The results of the studied degradation models show that the intended change in speed corresponds to correction factor values between 0.79 and 0.96. Using this correction factor to compensate for changes in design speed, the service life of ballasted track system is estimated to decrease by an average of 15%. Further, the expected value of LCC for the route under consideration will increase by 30%. The outcome of this study will be used to support the design and requirement specification of railway track system for the project under consideration.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Springer, 2024
Keywords
Correction factor, Degradation models, LCC, Requirement specification, Track system
National Category
Other Civil Engineering
Research subject
Operation and Maintenance Engineering
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:ltu:diva-108475 (URN)10.1007/s13198-024-02399-4 (DOI)001280684000002 ()2-s2.0-85200043783 (Scopus ID)
Funder
Swedish Transport Administration
Note

Full text license: CC BY

Available from: 2024-08-07 Created: 2024-08-07 Last updated: 2024-11-20
Soleimani-Chamkhorami, K., Garmabaki, A. S., Kasraei, A., Famurewa, S. M., Odelius, J. & Strandberg, G. (2024). Life cycle cost assessment of railways infrastructure asset under climate change impacts. Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment, 127, Article ID 104072.
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Life cycle cost assessment of railways infrastructure asset under climate change impacts
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2024 (English)In: Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment, ISSN 1361-9209, E-ISSN 1879-2340, Vol. 127, article id 104072Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Climate change impacts such as extreme temperatures, snow and ice, flooding, and sea level rise posed significant threats to railway infrastructure networks. One of the important questions that infrastructure managers need to answer is, “How will maintenance costs be affected due to climate change in different climate change scenarios?” This paper proposes an approach to estimate the implication of climate change on the life cycle cost (LCC) of railways infrastructure assets. The proportional hazard model is employed to capture the dynamic effects of climate change on reliability parameters and LCC of railway assets. A use-case from a railway in North Sweden is analyzed to validate the proposed process using data collected over 18 years. The results have shown that precipitation, temperature, and humidity are significant weather factors in selected use-case. Furthermore, our analyses show that LCC under future climate scenarios will be about 11 % higher than LCC without climate impacts.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Elsevier Ltd, 2024
Keywords
Climate adaptation, Climate change, Life cycle cost analysis, Proportional hazard model, Railway infrastructure, Reliability analysis
National Category
Infrastructure Engineering
Research subject
Operation and Maintenance Engineering
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:ltu:diva-104359 (URN)10.1016/j.trd.2024.104072 (DOI)001171382700001 ()2-s2.0-85184743796 (Scopus ID)
Note

Validerad;2024;Nivå 2;2024-04-02 (joosat);

Funder: Vinnova (2019-03181, 2021-02456); Kempe foundation (JCK-3123);

Full text license: CC BY

Available from: 2024-02-22 Created: 2024-02-22 Last updated: 2024-11-20Bibliographically approved
Khosravi, M., Ahmadi, A., Kasraei, A. & Nissen, A. (2024). Optimisation of railway tamping scheduling. Heliyon, 10(23), Article ID e40844.
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Optimisation of railway tamping scheduling
2024 (English)In: Heliyon, E-ISSN 2405-8440, Vol. 10, no 23, article id e40844Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

This research was devoted to optimising opportunistic tamping scheduling to present a cost-effective approach that considers both preventive and corrective tamping activities. To achieve this, we formulated the track geometry tamping scheduling problem as a mixed integer linear programming model and employed a genetic algorithm for its resolution. Key track quality indicators, including the standard deviation of the longitudinal level and single defects, were considered.We developed predictive models for the evolution of standard deviation and single defects over time, which were utilised to schedule preventive tamping activities and anticipate potential corrective actions. Additionally, we investigated the impact of both preventive and corrective tamping activities on the values of standard deviation and single defects.A case study on data from the Main Western Line in Sweden demonstrated that the fixed cost of occupying each maintenance window significantly influenced the total tamping cost. Moreover, the maintenance cycle interval notably affected the number of required corrective tamping activities. Specifically, a 3-month interval led to over 50 % fewer corrective tamping activities when compared to a 9-month interval. The results revealed that a 6-month interval achieved a favourable balance between corrective and preventive tamping activities and the total cost in our case study.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Elsevier, 2024
Keywords
Railway tracks, Track geometry degradation, Maintenance, Optimal tamping scheduling, Track geometry modelling, Track geometry measurement alignment
National Category
Computational Mathematics
Research subject
Operation and Maintenance Engineering
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:ltu:diva-111082 (URN)10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e40844 (DOI)2-s2.0-85211074452 (Scopus ID)
Funder
Swedish Transport AdministrationLuleå Railway Research Centre (JVTC)
Note

Validerad;2024;Nivå 2;2025-01-01 (signyg);

Funder: EU-Rail FP3-IAM4Rail (101101966);

Fulltext license: CC BY

Available from: 2024-12-20 Created: 2024-12-20 Last updated: 2024-12-20Bibliographically approved
Khosravi, M., Ahmadi, A. & Kasraei, A. (2024). Pre-processing of Track Geometry Measurements: A Comparative Case Study. In: Uday Kumar; Ramin Karim; Diego Galar; Ravdeep Kour (Ed.), International Congress and Workshop on Industrial AI and eMaintenance 2023: . Paper presented at 7th International Congress and Workshop on Industrial AI and eMaintenance (IAI2023), Luleå, Sweden, June 13-15, 2023 (pp. 355-366). Springer Nature
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Pre-processing of Track Geometry Measurements: A Comparative Case Study
2024 (English)In: International Congress and Workshop on Industrial AI and eMaintenance 2023 / [ed] Uday Kumar; Ramin Karim; Diego Galar; Ravdeep Kour, Springer Nature, 2024, p. 355-366Conference paper, Published paper (Refereed)
Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Springer Nature, 2024
Series
Lecture Notes in Mechanical Engineering (LNME), ISSN 2195-4364, E-ISSN 2195-4356
National Category
Other Mechanical Engineering
Research subject
Operation and Maintenance Engineering
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:ltu:diva-101232 (URN)10.1007/978-3-031-39619-9_26 (DOI)2-s2.0-85181979699 (Scopus ID)
Conference
7th International Congress and Workshop on Industrial AI and eMaintenance (IAI2023), Luleå, Sweden, June 13-15, 2023
Projects
In2Smart II
Funder
Swedish Transport AdministrationEU, Horizon 2020, 881574 Shift2RailLuleå Railway Research Centre (JVTC)
Note

ISBN for host publication: 978-3-031-39618-2, 978-3-031-39619-9

Available from: 2023-09-06 Created: 2023-09-06 Last updated: 2024-03-28Bibliographically approved
Kasraei, A. & Garmabaki, A. H. (2024). Reliability analysis of railway assets considering the impact of geographical and climatic properties. International Journal of Systems Assurance Engineering and Management
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Reliability analysis of railway assets considering the impact of geographical and climatic properties
2024 (English)In: International Journal of Systems Assurance Engineering and Management, ISSN 0975-6809, E-ISSN 0976-4348Article in journal (Refereed) Epub ahead of print
Abstract [en]

Various factors, including climate change and geographical features, contribute to the deterioration of railway infrastructures over time. The impacts of climate change have caused significant damage to critical components, particularly switch and crossing (S&C) elements in the railway network. These components are sensitive to abnormal temperatures, snow and ice, and flooding, making them susceptible to failures. The consequences of S&C failures can have a detrimental effect on the reliability and safety of the entire railway network.

It is crucial to have a reliable clustering of railway infrastructure assets based on various climate zones to make informed decisions for railway network operation and maintenance in the face of current and future climate scenarios. This study employs machine learning models to categorize S&Cs; therefore, historical maintenance data, asset registry information, inspection data, and weather data are leveraged to identify patterns and cluster failures. The analysis reveals four distinct clusters based on climatic patterns. The effectiveness of the proposed model is validated using S&C data from the Swedish railway network.

By utilizing this clustering approach, the whole of Sweden railway network divided into 4 various groups. Utilizing this groups the development of model can associated with enhancing certainty of decision-making in railway operation and maintenance management. It provides a means to reduce uncertainty in model building, supporting robust and reliable decision-making. Additionally, this categorization supports infrastructure managers in implementing climate adaptation actions and maintenance activities management, ultimately contributing to developing a more resilient transport infrastructure.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Springer Nature, 2024
Keywords
Climate zones, Clustering algorithm, Railway asset, Reliability analysis
National Category
Other Civil Engineering
Research subject
Operation and Maintenance Engineering
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:ltu:diva-108248 (URN)10.1007/s13198-024-02397-6 (DOI)001251518800001 ()2-s2.0-85196515182 (Scopus ID)
Note

Funder: Formas (2022-00835); Kempe Foundation (JCK-2215);

Full text license: CC BY 4.0

Available from: 2024-07-02 Created: 2024-07-02 Last updated: 2024-12-06
Organisations
Identifiers
ORCID iD: ORCID iD iconorcid.org/0000-0002-7272-0352

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