Concrete overlays on bridge decks are expected to be more durable as compared with the more common asphalt solution. Besides stresses due to traffic load and temperature variations at service, the overlays are exposed to stresses due to long term shrinkage. Of interest is to evaluate the concrete overlay due to the shrinkage induced stresses at the composite interface. Three strategies have been employed to gain knowledge on the stresses; 1) use of non-destructive test systems via field observations, 2) a numerical study on a concrete composite slab tested in laboratory, 3) recordings of realistic shrinkage and climate data on a reference bridge using vibrating strain gauges and humidity probes in the newly cast concrete overlay. The data were used as input data for a linear elastic finite element model. This article demonstrates this last phase of the work.