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A Newly Developed Integrative Bio-Inspired Artificial Intelligence Model for Wind Speed Prediction
Computer science department, Baoji University of Arts and Sciences, Shaanxi, China.
Institute of Research and Development, Duy Tan University, Da Nang 550000, Vietnam; Computer Science Department, College of Computer Science and Information Technology, University of Anbar, Ramadi, Iraq.
Department of Computer Science, Thapar Institute of Engineering and Technology, India.
Department of Watershed Management, Sari Agricultural Sciences and Natural Resources University, P.O. Box 737, Sari, Iran.
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2020 (English)In: IEEE Access, E-ISSN 2169-3536, Vol. 8, p. 83347-83358Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Accurate wind speed (WS) modelling is crucial for optimal utilization of wind energy. Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) techniques, generally used for WS modelling are not only less cost-effective but also poor in predicting in shorter time horizon. Novel WS prediction models based on the multivariate empirical mode decomposition (MEMD), random forest (RF) and Kernel Ridge Regression (KRR) were constructed in this paper better accuracy in WS prediction. Particle swarm optimization algorithm (PSO) was employed to optimize the parameters of the hybridized MEMD model with RF (MEMD-PSO-RF) and KRR (MEMD-PSO-KRR) models. Obtained results were compared to those of the standalone RF and KRR models. The proposed methodology is applied for monthly WS prediction at meteorological stations of Iraq, Baghdad (Station1) and Mosul (Station2) for the period 1977-2013. Results showed higher accuracy of MEMD-PSO-RF model in predicting WS at both stations with a correlation coefficient (r) of 0.972 and r = 0.971 during testing phase at Station1 and Station2, respectively. The MEMD-PSO-KRR was found as the second most accurate model followed by Standalone RF and KRR, but all showed a competitive performance to the MEMD-PSO-RF model. The outcomes of this work indicated that the MEMD-PSO-RF model has a remarkable performance in predicting WS and can be considered for practical applications.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
IEEE, 2020. Vol. 8, p. 83347-83358
Keywords [en]
Wind Speed prediction, multivariate empirical mode decomposition, Random forest, Kernel Ridge Regression, Iraq region
National Category
Geotechnical Engineering and Engineering Geology
Research subject
Soil Mechanics
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:ltu:diva-78752DOI: 10.1109/ACCESS.2020.2990439ISI: 000549502200136Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85084922823OAI: oai:DiVA.org:ltu-78752DiVA, id: diva2:1427896
Note

Validerad;2020;Nivå 2;2020-05-18 (alebob)

Available from: 2020-05-04 Created: 2020-05-04 Last updated: 2025-04-16Bibliographically approved

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Al-Ansari, Nadhir

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