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Performance analysis of empirical models for predicting rock mass deformation modulus using regression and Bayesian methods
Oulu Mining School, University of Oulu, Oulu, Finland.
Luleå University of Technology, Department of Civil, Environmental and Natural Resources Engineering, Mining and Geotechnical Engineering.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-3838-8472
2020 (English)In: Journal of Rock Mechanics and Geotechnical Engineering, ISSN 1674-7755, Vol. 12, no 6, p. 1263-1271Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Deformation modulus of rock mass is one of the input parameters to most rock engineering designs and constructions. The field tests for determination of deformation modulus are cumbersome, expensive and time-consuming. This has prompted the development of various regression equations to estimate deformation modulus from results of rock mass classifications, with rock mass rating (RMR) being one of the frequently used classifications. The regression equations are of different types ranging from linear to nonlinear functions like power and exponential. Bayesian method has recently been developed to incorporate regression equations into a Bayesian framework to provide better estimates of geotechnical properties. The question of whether Bayesian method improves the estimation of geotechnical properties in all circumstances remains open. Therefore, a comparative study was conducted to assess the performances of regression and Bayesian methods when they are used to characterize deformation modulus from the same set of RMR data obtained from two project sites. The study also investigated the performance of different types of regression equations in estimation of the deformation modulus. Statistics, probability distributions and prediction indicators were used to assess the performances of regression and Bayesian methods and different types of regression equations. It was found that power and exponential types of regression equations provide a better estimate than linear regression equations. In addition, it was discovered that the ability of the Bayesian method to provide better estimates of deformation modulus than regression method depends on the quality and quantity of input data as well as the type of the regression equation.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Elsevier, 2020. Vol. 12, no 6, p. 1263-1271
Keywords [en]
Deformation modulus, rock mass, regression equation, Bayesian method, performance analysis, rock mass rating (RMR)
National Category
Other Civil Engineering
Research subject
Mining and Rock Engineering
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:ltu:diva-80565DOI: 10.1016/j.jrmge.2020.03.007ISI: 000604647400010Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85090701723OAI: oai:DiVA.org:ltu-80565DiVA, id: diva2:1461096
Note

Validerad;2021;Nivå 2;2021-01-21 (alebob)

Available from: 2020-08-26 Created: 2020-08-26 Last updated: 2021-01-28Bibliographically approved

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Idris, Musa Adebayo

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