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Remaining Useful Life Prediction of Bearings Using Ensemble Learning: The Impact of Diversity in Base Learners and Features
Department of Mechanical and Aerospace Engineering, University of Central Florida, Orlando, FL 32816.
Department of Mechanical and Aerospace Engineering, University of Central Florida, Orlando, FL 32816.
Luleå University of Technology, Department of Civil, Environmental and Natural Resources Engineering, Operation, Maintenance and Acoustics. Palo Alto Research Center, Palo Alto, CA 94034. NASA Ames Research Center, Moffett Field, CA 94035.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-0240-0943
Department of Mechanical and Aerospace Engineering, University of Central Florida, Orlando, FL 32816.
2021 (English)In: Journal of Computing and Information Science in Engineering, ISSN 1530-9827, E-ISSN 1944-7078, Vol. 21, no 2, article id 021004Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Prognostics and health management (PHM) of bearings is crucial for reducing the risk of failure and the cost of maintenance for rotating machinery. Model-based prognostic methods develop closed-form mathematical models based on underlying physics. However, the physics of complex bearing failures under varying operating conditions is not well understood yet. To complement model-based prognostics, data-driven methods have been increasingly used to predict the remaining useful life (RUL) of bearings. As opposed to other machine learning methods, ensemble learning methods can achieve higher prediction accuracy by combining multiple learning algorithms of different types. The rationale behind ensemble learning is that higher performance can be achieved by combining base learners that overestimate and underestimate the RUL of bearings. However, building an effective ensemble remains a challenge. To address this issue, the impact of diversity in base learners and extracted features in different degradation stages on the performance of ensemble learning is investigated. The degradation process of bearings is classified into three stages, including normal wear, smooth wear, and severe wear, based on the root-mean-square (RMS) of vibration signals. To evaluate the impact of diversity on prediction performance, vibration data collected from rolling element bearings was used to train predictive models. Experimental results have shown that the performance of the proposed ensemble learning method is significantly improved by selecting diverse features and base learners in different degradation stages.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
American Society of Mechanical Engineers (ASME) , 2021. Vol. 21, no 2, article id 021004
Keywords [en]
remaining useful life (RUL), ensemble learning, degradation stages, dynamic base learner selection, dynamic feature selection
National Category
Reliability and Maintenance Computer Sciences
Research subject
Operation and Maintenance
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:ltu:diva-83738DOI: 10.1115/1.4048215ISI: 000626316000005Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85093858890OAI: oai:DiVA.org:ltu-83738DiVA, id: diva2:1545157
Note

Validerad;2021;Nivå 2;2021-04-19 (alebob);

Finansiär: NASA Ames Research Center (80NSSC18M108)

Available from: 2021-04-19 Created: 2021-04-19 Last updated: 2022-04-13Bibliographically approved

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Goebel, Kai

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