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True Detection Rate and False Positives Targets on Road Side Detectors for autonomous Vehicle Traffic
Luleå University of Technology, Department of Civil, Environmental and Natural Resources Engineering, Operation, Maintenance and Acoustics. ALSTOM Digital Mobility, 48 Rue Albert Dhalenne, St-Ouen, France.ORCID iD: 0000-0003-2268-5277
ALSTOM Digital Mobility, via di Corticcella 75, Bologna, Italy.
2020 (English)In: e-proceedings of the 30th European Safety and Reliability Conference and 15th Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management Conference (ESREL2020 PSAM15) / [ed] Piero Baraldi; Francesco Di Maio; Enrico Zio, Research Publishing Services, 2020, p. 139-146Conference paper, Published paper (Refereed)
Abstract [en]

Autonomous road vehicles hold the promise of making road transportation potentially safer, more fluid and more sustainable. Clearly, the above-mentioned goals imply stringent reliability and maintainability targets on the roadside detectors.

The present paper reports on two complementary studies on the latter: (1) focusing on true detection performance, characterized by true detection probability, i.e. the ability for a roadside detector to detect soon enough a fixed obstacle lying on the road, thus avoiding potentially hazardous emergency brakes; (2) the other, on so-called false positives, i.e. the possibility for a roadside detector to signal the presence of an object when there is none.

In both cases, quantitative performance targets lead to reliability allocations to the detectors and to constraints exported to maintainer and operator.

For the true detection capability, or `true positive rate', using standard probabilistic assumptions, a closed-form constraint is obtained which relates the minimum acceptable true-positive target, the maximum acceptable detector failure rate and the average mileage driven annually. Reliability allocations can then be made to the detectors under various maintenance policy assumptions.

For the false positives, i.e. spurious detection of an obstacle ahead of an autonomous vehicle, there is (i) a safety concern: the vehicle may not have time to brake smoothly; and (ii) an availability concern: a slowdown of one or more vehicles may result in a "traffic jam''. To keep those risks acceptable, constraints are formulated in terms of kinematic parameters and detectors density but also average traffic supervision operator reaction time.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Research Publishing Services, 2020. p. 139-146
Keywords [en]
Autonomous vehicles, Detectors, Reliability, Safety, True positive, True negative, False positive, Allocation, Maintenance, Maintainability, Operations
National Category
Transport Systems and Logistics
Research subject
Operation and Maintenance
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:ltu:diva-85845DOI: 10.3850/978-981-14-8593-0_5662-cdScopus ID: 2-s2.0-85107311706OAI: oai:DiVA.org:ltu-85845DiVA, id: diva2:1570763
Conference
30th European Safety and Reliability Conference and 15th Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management Conference(ESREL2020 PSAM15), Venice, Italy, November 1-5, 2020
Note

ISBN för värdpublikation: 978-981-14-8593-0

Available from: 2021-06-22 Created: 2021-06-22 Last updated: 2023-09-05Bibliographically approved

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Dersin, Pierre

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