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Short Time Wind Forecasting with Uncertainty
Computer Technology Institute & Press “Diophantus” Patras, Greece.
Computer Technology Institute & Press “Diophantus” Patras, Greece.
Luleå University of Technology, Department of Computer Science, Electrical and Space Engineering, Signals and Systems.ORCID iD: 0000-0001-9701-4203
Computer Technology Institute & Press “Diophantus” Patras, Greece.
2019 (English)In: The 10th International Conference on Information, Intelligence, Systems and Applications, 15-17 July 2019, Patras, Greece, IEEE, 2019, p. 511-518Conference paper, Published paper (Refereed)
Abstract [en]

Forecasting the weather and especially the wind is important for a number of applications like wind farms or for maritime operations. Nowadays machine learning techniques are becoming more reliable and robust for forecasting due to the fact that a plethora of available datasets exist. However, forecasts for shorter time horizon less than two hour is not reliable due to the frequent wind fluctuations. Nevertheless, the need for algorithms that can have a small memory and cpu footprint is needed for hardware e.g. microcontrollers that are on board of vessels. In this manuscript a method for short time wind forecasting is proposed and scaled for a microcontroller. The method also computes prediction intervals with a certain probability. Our method was tested using real data recorded from a weather station on board of a ship conducting trips across the Aegean Sea (Greece).

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
IEEE, 2019. p. 511-518
Keywords [en]
weather forecasting, regression, multiple linear regression, prediction intervals
National Category
Meteorology and Atmospheric Sciences Computer graphics and computer vision
Research subject
Control Engineering
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:ltu:diva-86772DOI: 10.1109/IISA.2019.8900727ISI: 000589872200078Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85075867769OAI: oai:DiVA.org:ltu-86772DiVA, id: diva2:1586441
Conference
10th International Conference on Information, Intelligence, Systems and Applications (IISA 2019), Patras, Greece, July 15-17, 2019
Funder
EU, Horizon 2020, 727982
Note

ISBN för värdpublikation: 978-1-7281-4959-2

Available from: 2021-08-20 Created: 2021-08-20 Last updated: 2025-02-01Bibliographically approved

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Georgoulas, George G.

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