Change search
CiteExportLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf
A framework for now-casting and forecasting in augmented asset management
Luleå University of Technology, Department of Civil, Environmental and Natural Resources Engineering, Operation, Maintenance and Acoustics.ORCID iD: 0000-0003-2153-2914
Luleå University of Technology, Department of Civil, Environmental and Natural Resources Engineering, Operation, Maintenance and Acoustics.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-0055-2740
Luleå University of Technology, Department of Civil, Environmental and Natural Resources Engineering, Operation, Maintenance and Acoustics.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-1938-0985
Luleå University of Technology, Department of Civil, Environmental and Natural Resources Engineering, Operation, Maintenance and Acoustics.ORCID iD: 0000-0003-2268-5277
2022 (English)In: International Journal of Systems Assurance Engineering and Management, ISSN 0975-6809, E-ISSN 0976-4348, Vol. 13, no 5, p. 2640-2655Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Asset Management of a complex technical system-of-systems needs cross-organizational operation and maintenance, asset data management and context-aware analytics. Emerging technologies such as AI and digitalisation can facilitate the augmentation of asset management (AAM), by providing data-driven and model-driven approaches to analytics, i.e., now-casting and forecasting. However, implementing context-aware now-casting and forecasting analytics in an operational environment with varying contexts such as for fleets and distributed infrastructure is challenging. The number of algorithms in such an implementation can be vast due to the large number of assets and operational contexts for the fleet. To reduce the complexity of the analytics, it is required to optimize the number of algorithms. This can be done by optimizing the number of operational contexts through a generalization and specialization approach based on both fleet behaviour and individual behaviour for improved analytics. This paper proposes a framework for context-aware now-casting and forecasting analytics for AAM based on a top-down, i.e., Fleet2Individual and bottom-up, i.e., Individual2Fleet approach. The proposed framework has been described and verified by applying it to the context of railway rolling stock in Sweden. The benefits of the proposed framework is to provide industries with a tool that can be used to simplify the implementation of AI and digital technologies in now-casting and forecasting.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Springer, 2022. Vol. 13, no 5, p. 2640-2655
Keywords [en]
Now-casting, Forecasting, Asset management, Augmented asset management, Fleet management, Rolling stock
National Category
Reliability and Maintenance Computer Vision and Robotics (Autonomous Systems)
Research subject
Operation and Maintenance
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:ltu:diva-92157DOI: 10.1007/s13198-022-01721-2ISI: 000821370800001Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85133591516OAI: oai:DiVA.org:ltu-92157DiVA, id: diva2:1683071
Projects
AI Factory
Funder
VinnovaSwedish Transport Administration
Note

Validerad;2022;Nivå 2;2022-11-30 (sofila);

Funder: JVTC (Luleå Railway Research Center); Trafikverket; Alstom; Tågföretagen; Norrtåg; Infranord; Trasnitio; Bombardier; Sweco; Omicold and Damill

Available from: 2022-07-13 Created: 2022-07-13 Last updated: 2024-03-20Bibliographically approved
In thesis
1. A System-of-Systems Approach for Enhancing Asset Management of Railway System
Open this publication in new window or tab >>A System-of-Systems Approach for Enhancing Asset Management of Railway System
2024 (English)Doctoral thesis, comprehensive summary (Other academic)
Abstract [en]

In Sweden, railway transport of freight and passengers is a significant portion of the total transport system. The demand for railway transport is forecasted to increase in the coming decades. One of the main reasons for this ever-increasing demand is the requirement for sustainable transport, nationally and globally. Today, railways are considered an environment-friendly option of transport. The increasing demands on railway transport raise the requirements on the efficiency and effectiveness of the railway system.

From a system engineering perspective, the railway system is generally described to consist of two (2) main systems, i.e. a) railway infrastructure and b) railway rolling stock. Further, each of these two systems consists of a set of inherent interconnected integrated systems. Hence, from a system engineering perspective, the railway system can be considered as a System-of-Systems (SoS). Managing complex technical SoS, such as the railway system and its inherent items (also considered as assets), is complex and complicated, that requires a holistic systemic and systematic approach for asset management.

A holistic and systematic asset management strategy, considering aspects of reliability, availability, maintainability, safety, and security, is essential in ensuring railway system proficiency. This SoS approach will enforce fact-based informed decision-making by enabling a comprehensive understanding of assets within interconnected systems, facilitating strategic, tactical, and operative planning and execution decision-making as well as tactical processes and operational activities. Augmenting asset management with data-driven analytics, with a focus on the maintenance of assets, is expected to improve the effectiveness and efficiency of asset management. However, challenges related to data quality issues and dynamic asset characteristics must be addressed to gain the anticipated benefits of digitalisation.

Asset management of railway infrastructure has received substantial attention from within academia and industry. However, there is a noticeable research gap in the field of railway rolling stock asset management. The characteristics of the railway rolling stock system such as cross-organisational operation and maintenance, and the aspects of fleet management, poses certain challenges. These challenges are related to factors such as 1) the selection of maintenance strategies, 2) considering the dynamic nature of maintenance decisions and strategies 3) a holistic approach to increase system availability, and 4) the use of data-driven approaches such as industrial artificial intelligence, now-casting and forecasting.

To address these challenges and bridge the gaps, there is a need to identify the state-of-the-art and challenges associated with asset management of railway rolling stock. Additionally, there is a need to develop a holistic, systemic, and dynamic approach utilising data-driven solutions for enhanced asset management of railway rolling stock. The development of such an approach requires frameworks, tools, technologies, methodologies, and tools. These artefacts will also increase the knowledge related to domain requirements, state-of-the-art, best practices, and use of technology in asset management of railway rolling stock.

Hence, in this research, a taxonomy of issues and challenges has been identified. Furthermore, additional artefacts such as approaches, frameworks, platforms, technologies, methodologies, and tools for asset management of railway rolling stock have been developed and provided. These artefacts have been developed through literature surveys, experiments, best practices, standards, structured and semi-structured interviews with experienced professionals from railway organisations and learning from the development of demonstrators in the context of asset management and maintenance of railway rolling stock.

These developed and provided artefacts utilising an SoS approach can be used to establish effective and efficient asset management of railway rolling stock with a focus on the use of Industrial AI and digitalisation for the improvement of operation and maintenance processes. These artefacts can also be used by railway organisations to enhance the existing asset management and maintenance processes for railway rolling stock.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Luleå: Luleå University of Technology, 2024
Series
Doctoral thesis / Luleå University of Technology 1 jan 1997 → …, ISSN 1402-1544
Keywords
railways rolling stock, system-of-systems, asset management, maintenance, fleet management, industrial AI, digitalisation
National Category
Reliability and Maintenance
Research subject
Operation and Maintenance Engineering
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:ltu:diva-104690 (URN)978-91-8048-509-8 (ISBN)978-91-8048-510-4 (ISBN)
Public defence
2024-05-15, C305, Luleå University of Technology, Luleå, 10:00 (English)
Opponent
Supervisors
Projects
JVTC, AI Factory for railways
Available from: 2024-03-21 Created: 2024-03-20 Last updated: 2024-04-24Bibliographically approved

Open Access in DiVA

No full text in DiVA

Other links

Publisher's full textScopus

Authority records

Kumari, JayaKarim, RaminThaduri, AdithyaDersin, Pierre

Search in DiVA

By author/editor
Kumari, JayaKarim, RaminThaduri, AdithyaDersin, Pierre
By organisation
Operation, Maintenance and Acoustics
In the same journal
International Journal of Systems Assurance Engineering and Management
Reliability and MaintenanceComputer Vision and Robotics (Autonomous Systems)

Search outside of DiVA

GoogleGoogle Scholar

doi
urn-nbn

Altmetric score

doi
urn-nbn
Total: 376 hits
CiteExportLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf