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Implications of Climate Change in Life Cycle Cost Analysis of Railway Infrastructure
Luleå University of Technology, Department of Civil, Environmental and Natural Resources Engineering, Operation, Maintenance and Acoustics. Faculty of Computer Engineering, Najafabad Branch, Islamic Azad University, Najafabad, Iran.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-2738-4708
Luleå University of Technology, Department of Civil, Environmental and Natural Resources Engineering, Operation, Maintenance and Acoustics.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-7272-0352
Luleå University of Technology, Department of Civil, Environmental and Natural Resources Engineering, Operation, Maintenance and Acoustics.ORCID iD: 0000-0003-2976-5229
Luleå University of Technology, Department of Civil, Environmental and Natural Resources Engineering, Operation, Maintenance and Acoustics.ORCID iD: 0000-0001-9843-5819
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2023 (English)In: Proceedings of the 33rd European Safety and Reliability Conference (ESREL 2023) / [ed] Mário P. Brito; Terje Aven, Piero Baraldi; Marko Čepin; Enrico Zio, Research Publishing , 2023, p. 2089-2096, article id P093Conference paper, Published paper (Refereed)
Abstract [en]

Extreme weather conditions from climate change, including high or low temperatures, snow and ice, flooding,storms, sea level rise, low visibility, etc., can damage railway infrastructure. These incidents severely affect the reliability of the railway infrastructure and the acceptable service level. Due to the inherent complexity of the railway system, quantifying the impacts of climate change on railway infrastructure and associated expenses has been challenging. To address these challenges, railway infrastructure managers must adopt a climate-resilient approach that considers all cost components related to the life cycle of railway assets. This approach involves implementing climate adaptation measures to reduce the life cycle costs (LCC) of railway infrastructure while maintaining the reliability and safety of the network. Therefore, it is critical for infrastructure managers to predict, "How will maintenance costs be affected due to climate change in different RCP's scenarios?"The proposed model integrates operation and maintenance costs with reliability and availability parameters such as mean time to failure (MTTF) and mean time to repair (MTTR). The proportional hazard model (PHM) is used to reflect the dynamic effect of climate change by capturing the trend variation in MTTF and MTTR. A use case from a railway in North Sweden is studied and analyzed to validate the process. Data collected over a 20-year period is analyzed for the chosen use case. As a main result, this study has revealed that climate change may significantly influence the LCC of switch and crossing (S&C) and can help managers predict the required budget.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Research Publishing , 2023. p. 2089-2096, article id P093
Keywords [en]
Life Cycle Cost Analysis, Switch and Crossing, Railway Infrastructure, Climate Adaptation
National Category
Civil Engineering Other Environmental Engineering
Research subject
Operation and Maintenance Engineering
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:ltu:diva-103278DOI: 10.3850/978-981-18-8071-1_P093-cdOAI: oai:DiVA.org:ltu-103278DiVA, id: diva2:1818235
Conference
33rd European Safety and Reliability Conference (ESREL 2023), Southampton, United Kingdom, September 3-8, 2023
Funder
Vinnova, 2021-02456Vinnova, 2019-03181The Kempe Foundations, JCK-2215Swedish Transport AdministrationSwedish Meteorological and Hydrological InstituteLuleå Railway Research Centre (JVTC)
Note

Funder: SWECO AB; WSP AB; InfraNord; BnearIT;

ISBN for host publication: 978-981-18-8071-1

Available from: 2023-12-08 Created: 2023-12-08 Last updated: 2024-10-22Bibliographically approved

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Chamkhorami, Khosro SoleimaniKasraei, AhmadGarmabaki, Amir SoleimaniFamurewa, Stephen MayowaKumar, UdayOdelius, Johan

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