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Climate change and total factor productivity in the Tanzanian economy
Department of Economics, University of Portsmouth.
International Institute for Environment and Development.
Department of Social Sciences, Mid Sweden University, Sundsvall.ORCID iD: 0000-0001-7206-6568
2011 (English)In: Climate Policy, ISSN 1469-3062, E-ISSN 1752-7457, Vol. 11, no 6, p. 1289-1302Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

The economic impacts of climate-change-induced adjustments on the performance of the Tanzanian economy are analysed, using a countrywide computable general equilibrium (CGE) model. The effect of overall climate change on agricultural productivity (modelled as reduced land productivity) is projected to be relatively limited until about 2030, thereafter becoming worse. The simulation results indicate that despite the projected reduction in agricultural productivity, the negative impacts can potentially be quite limited. This is because the timescales involved, as well as the low starting point of the economy, leave ample room for factor substitutability and increased overall productivity. This indicates that policies that give farmers the opportunity to invest in autonomous climate adaptation, as well as those that improve the overall performance of the economy, can be as important in reducing the impacts of climate change in the economy as direct government policies for adaptation.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2011. Vol. 11, no 6, p. 1289-1302
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:ltu:diva-7664DOI: 10.1080/14693062.2011.579300Local ID: 6114b842-0622-4a44-aec8-127d34a381d4OAI: oai:DiVA.org:ltu-7664DiVA, id: diva2:980554
Projects
Environment for Development
Note
Upprättat; 2011; 20141202 (jessta)Available from: 2016-09-29 Created: 2016-09-29 Last updated: 2017-11-24Bibliographically approved

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