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The boom in mineral markets: how long might it last?
Luleå University of Technology, Department of Business Administration, Technology and Social Sciences, Social Sciences.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-7996-6136
Colorado School of Mines.
Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile.
Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile.
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2008 (English)In: Resources policy, ISSN 0301-4207, E-ISSN 1873-7641, Vol. 33, no 3, p. 125-128Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

The commodity price boom that emerged in 2004 has proved far more persevering than its predecessors of 1950 and 1973. Some analysts have suggested that it may represent the start of a "supercycle" caused by the voracious raw materials demand from China and other emerging economies, with prices remaining high for 20-30 years. We offer an alternative explanation. For a variety of reasons, the establishment of new capacity in minerals and energy to match the accelerated demand trends is more time consuming than commonly assumed, and may take a decade or longer. As soon as the new capacity is in place, however, the boom will be punctuated. Prices may collapse much earlier in the event of a severe recession that cuts the growth in commodity demand.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2008. Vol. 33, no 3, p. 125-128
National Category
Economics
Research subject
Economics
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:ltu:diva-8683DOI: 10.1016/j.resourpol.2008.05.002ISI: 000261257000001Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-54449092453Local ID: 73910db0-99fb-11dd-bc49-000ea68e967bOAI: oai:DiVA.org:ltu-8683DiVA, id: diva2:981621
Note
Validerad; 2008; 20081014 (keni)Available from: 2016-09-29 Created: 2016-09-29 Last updated: 2018-07-10Bibliographically approved

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Radetzki, Marian

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