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Publications (10 of 142) Show all publications
Ghoul, A., Lachnit, W., Adoul, M. A. & Birk, W. (2026). A Prognostic Framework for Railway Track Geometry: Tamping Detection, Settling-Aware Estimation, and Spatially Resolved RUL Prediction. In: Proceedings of the 9th European Conference of the Prognostics and Health Management Society 2026: . Paper presented at 9th European Conference of the Prognostics and Health Management Society 2026 (PHME26), Oslo, Norway, July 8-10, 2026. PHM Society
Open this publication in new window or tab >>A Prognostic Framework for Railway Track Geometry: Tamping Detection, Settling-Aware Estimation, and Spatially Resolved RUL Prediction
2026 (English)In: Proceedings of the 9th European Conference of the Prognostics and Health Management Society 2026, PHM Society , 2026Conference paper, Published paper (Refereed)
Abstract [en]

Accurate estimation of railway track geometry degradation and reliable prediction of remaining useful life (RUL) are essential for cost-effective infrastructure management. This paper presents a self-contained Kalman filtering framework that integrates unsupervised tamping detection and Settling-aware post-tamping state management, jointly addressing state estimation, short-term forecasting, and RUL prediction for longitudinal level and twist parameters using only historical onboard monitoring (OBM) and measurement train (MT) data, without requiring traffic load, environmental, or maintenance metadata. The framework comprises four integrated stages: (i) source-specific outlier detection exploiting the distinct noise characteristics of OBM and MT instruments; (ii) unsupervised tamping detection through adaptive jump analysis on monthly representative values; (iii) a damped Kalman filter with adaptive noise modelling and spatial fusion of neighboring positions, augmented by a Settling-aware state management mechanism that detects the rapid post-tamping consolidation phase and injects physically informed velocity priors to prevent filter lag; and (iv) a RUL prediction module that propagates the final Kalman state forward under damped dynamics until the predicted geometry violates the Alert Limit (AL) or Immediate Action Limit (IAL) defined by EN 13848-5. The complete pipeline is evaluated on 50 consecutive track positions spanning a 50-metre segment of Sudostbahn line 870 (Switzerland), using 6 MT and 33 OBM observations per position collected over five years (2016-2021). Results demonstrate accurate estimation through both degradation and maintenance phases, with six-month forecast confidence bands. The multi-position RUL analysis classifies 98% of positions as safe beyond a 2-year horizon and identifies the remaining positions with finite RUL values, enabling spatially targeted maintenance prioritization.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
PHM Society, 2026
Series
Proceedings of the Annual Conference of the Prognostics and Health Management Society, ISSN 2325-0178 ; 9:1
National Category
Other Civil Engineering
Research subject
Automatic Control; Operation and Maintenance Engineering
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:ltu:diva-119486 (URN)10.36001/phme.2026.v9i1.4842 (DOI)
Conference
9th European Conference of the Prognostics and Health Management Society 2026 (PHME26), Oslo, Norway, July 8-10, 2026
Funder
The Kempe Foundations, 371940
Note

Full text license: CC BY 3.0

Available from: 2026-08-20 Created: 2026-08-20 Last updated: 2026-08-20Bibliographically approved
Lindström, J., Kyösti, P., Psarommatis, F., Birk, W., Lejon, E., Andersson, A., . . . Andersson, K. (2025). A capability maturity model (CMM) for long-term management of Zero Defect Manufacturing (ZDM) implementations – ZDM-CMM. In: Sebastian Thiede, Roy Damgrave, Tom Vanekar, Eric Lutters (Ed.), Proceedings of the 58th CIRP Conference on Manufacturing Systems 2025: . Paper presented at 58th CIRP Conference on Manufacturing Systems 2025, April 13-16, 2025, Enschede, The Netherlands (pp. 187-192). Elsevier, 134
Open this publication in new window or tab >>A capability maturity model (CMM) for long-term management of Zero Defect Manufacturing (ZDM) implementations – ZDM-CMM
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2025 (English)In: Proceedings of the 58th CIRP Conference on Manufacturing Systems 2025 / [ed] Sebastian Thiede, Roy Damgrave, Tom Vanekar, Eric Lutters, Elsevier, 2025, Vol. 134, p. 187-192Conference paper, Published paper (Refereed)
Abstract [en]

The proposed evaluated Capability Maturity Model (CMM) for long-term management of Zero Defect Manufacturing (ZDM) implementations, ZDM-CMM, is intended as a tool for organizations initiating or advancing their ZDM initiatives. This ZDM-CMM offers guidance on key perspectives crucial for successful ZDM development, deployment, and potential objectives for measuring maturity and progress over time. The evaluation of the ZDM-CMM highlights use in balancing conflicting objectives such as speed, cost, and quality, with sensitivity analysis recommended to determine their relative importance. While additional objectives were suggested, the current model provides a foundational framework to be refined with further experience. The CMM, designed primarily for tracking maturity rather than comparing implementations, emphasizes the significance of considering various perspectives early in ZDM project planning to ensure comprehensive management. Although not yet widely adopted, the companies that participated in the evaluation expressed interest in using the CMM for visualization of progress and holistic assessment of ZDM efforts. Further, the ZDM-CMM is expected to provide significant insights for project planning, potentially saving time, resources, and ensuring thorough consideration of critical ZDM aspects. 

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Elsevier, 2025
Series
Procedia CIRP, E-ISSN 2212-8271
Keywords
capability maturity model (CMM), implementation, long-term, management, objectives, Zero Defect Manufacturing (ZDM)
National Category
Other Mechanical Engineering
Research subject
Cyber Security; Information Systems
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:ltu:diva-113475 (URN)10.1016/j.procir.2025.03.014 (DOI)2-s2.0-105009399494 (Scopus ID)
Conference
58th CIRP Conference on Manufacturing Systems 2025, April 13-16, 2025, Enschede, The Netherlands
Note

Full text: CC BY license;

For funding information, see: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.procir.2025.03.014

Available from: 2025-06-17 Created: 2025-06-17 Last updated: 2025-11-28Bibliographically approved
Lindström, J., Kyösti, P., Birk, W., Lejon, E., Schneider, G., Andersson, A., . . . Andersson, K. (2025). Interoperability requirements for Zero Defect Manufacturing within Industry4.0. In: Sebastian Thiede, Roy Damgrave, Tom Vanekar, Eric Lutters (Ed.), Proceedings of the 58th CIRP Conference on Manufacturing Systems 2025: . Paper presented at 58th CIRP Conference on Manufacturing Systems 2025, April 13-16, 2025, Enschede, The Netherlands (pp. 532-537). Elsevier, 134
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Interoperability requirements for Zero Defect Manufacturing within Industry4.0
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2025 (English)In: Proceedings of the 58th CIRP Conference on Manufacturing Systems 2025 / [ed] Sebastian Thiede, Roy Damgrave, Tom Vanekar, Eric Lutters, Elsevier, 2025, Vol. 134, p. 532-537Conference paper, Published paper (Refereed)
Abstract [en]

The paper addresses, based on a qualitative study comprising five companies, requirements for interoperability concerning Zero Defect Manufacturing (ZDM) in an Industry4.0 context. The results outline a strong link between well working interoperability and achieving the benefits from ZDM efforts. Further, the results also outline the need for getting out the right data from production processes and keep high data quality supported by management attention and a clear vision. The results are aligned with existing literature and studies but bring up more details on requirements on evolving interoperability for ZDM in terms of data quality and how the analytic output can be used for decisions based on the reliability and confidence levels. In addition, the increased need for cybersecurity within ZDM is highlighted where also cybersecurity requires interoperability to function well over time. 

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Elsevier, 2025
Series
Procedia CIRP, E-ISSN 2212-8271
Keywords
cloud services, cybersecurity, Industry 4.0, interoperability, integrability, requirements, Zero Defect Manufacturing (ZDM)
National Category
Other Electrical Engineering, Electronic Engineering, Information Engineering
Research subject
Cyber Security; Information Systems; Automatic Control
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:ltu:diva-113480 (URN)10.1016/j.procir.2025.02.167 (DOI)2-s2.0-105009407048 (Scopus ID)
Conference
58th CIRP Conference on Manufacturing Systems 2025, April 13-16, 2025, Enschede, The Netherlands
Note

Full text: CC BY-NC-ND license;

For funding information, see: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.procir.2025.02.167

Available from: 2025-06-17 Created: 2025-06-17 Last updated: 2025-11-28Bibliographically approved
Simonsson, J., Atta, K. T. & Birk, W. (2024). A Graph Theoretical Approach to Modeling of District Energy Networks. IEEE Transactions on Control Systems Technology, 32(5), 1616-1630
Open this publication in new window or tab >>A Graph Theoretical Approach to Modeling of District Energy Networks
2024 (English)In: IEEE Transactions on Control Systems Technology, ISSN 1063-6536, E-ISSN 1558-0865, Vol. 32, no 5, p. 1616-1630Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Simulation of thermal dynamics in city-scale district energy grids often becomes computationally prohibitive for long simulation runs. Most current model order reduction methods offer limited interpretability with regards to the nonreduced system and are not in general applicable for varying flow rates, multiple producers, or changing flow directions. This article presents a graph perspective on modeling of district energy networks. Based on spectral graph theory, a novel method for model order reduction of district energy systems is proposed. The method approximates the solution of an optimization problem, minimizing the coefficients of the local truncation error for the advection equation. Furthermore, a method for calculating the intracluster temperature distribution is presented. It is shown that the method can be used to reduce the thermal dynamic model of a city-scale energy grid, resulting in a coarser temporal and spatial resolution, with a significant decrease in simulation time. The relative root-mean-square error (rRMSE) was 2.5% for the temperature in the evaluation scenario, comparing the reduced-order system with the nonreduced system at the instances of the coarser time step.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
IEEE, 2024
Keywords
District heating, graph theory, model order reduction, spectral clustering
National Category
Control Engineering
Research subject
Automatic Control
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:ltu:diva-103185 (URN)10.1109/TCST.2023.3345213 (DOI)001137413500001 ()2-s2.0-85182363992 (Scopus ID)
Funder
EU, Horizon 2020, 775970Swedish Energy Agency, 43090-2
Note

Validerad;2024;Nivå 2;2024-09-20 (joosat);

Full text: CC BY license;

Available from: 2023-12-04 Created: 2023-12-04 Last updated: 2025-10-21Bibliographically approved
Zaman, A. & Birk, W. (2024). Online estimation of PID controllers and plant dynamics via multi‐recursive least squares estimation from closed‐loop I/O data. IET Control Theory & Applications, 18(6), 688-709
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Online estimation of PID controllers and plant dynamics via multi‐recursive least squares estimation from closed‐loop I/O data
2024 (English)In: IET Control Theory & Applications, ISSN 1751-8644, E-ISSN 1751-8652, Vol. 18, no 6, p. 688-709Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

This article proposes an online solution to address the problem of closed-loop system identification using multiple recursive least squares estimation protocols. Some control systems cannot be analysed in an open-loop form for stability reasons or the requirement for online control system operation. So, it is necessary to identify plant dynamics and controller parameters based on input–output data from the feedback structure. The presented method identifies real-time parameters of plant dynamics and controller parameters by utilising a series of recursive least square estimation algorithms that estimate open-loop data from noisy input–output data measured from the closed-loop feedback structure. The proposed method can effectively identify abrupt variations in both the controller parameters and plant dynamics. This capability makes it valuable for deployment as a supervisory component, enabling the detection of any faults that may arise in operating systems. Mathematical formulations and theorems are developed, and two numerical case studies are presented to examine the feasibility and performance of the presented closed-loop system identification protocol.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
John Wiley & Sons, 2024
National Category
Control Engineering
Research subject
Automatic Control
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:ltu:diva-103083 (URN)10.1049/cth2.12605 (DOI)001108939600001 ()2-s2.0-85177792907 (Scopus ID)
Funder
EU, Horizon 2020, 956059
Note

Validerad;2024;Nivå 2;2024-04-03 (joosat);

Full text license: CC BY

Available from: 2023-11-29 Created: 2023-11-29 Last updated: 2025-10-21Bibliographically approved
Simonsson, J., Atta, K. T. & Birk, W. (2024). Semi-decentralized temperature control in district heating systems. Journal of Process Control, 140, Article ID 103251.
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Semi-decentralized temperature control in district heating systems
2024 (English)In: Journal of Process Control, ISSN 0959-1524, E-ISSN 1873-2771, Vol. 140, article id 103251Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

The supply temperature in district heating systems has traditionally been controlled using feedforward – a robust and well-validated approach for district heating networks with few producers and relatively high supply temperatures. The transition towards lower temperature district heating networks allows for efficient reuse of excess heat from, e.g., industrial processes and data centers. Excess heat is often intermittent, cannot always be assumed to be possible to control with a centralized controller, and can cause temperature disturbances in the grid. Closing the loop using PID control is challenging due to the process’s time-varying nature and long time delays. Model Predictive Control (MPC) suffers from a higher complexity, long computational times, and the need for a well-validated and maintained centralized model. The paper suggests a semi-decentralized approach using the Smith predictor with an event-driven assignment of active controllers and sensors. A reduced order model based on a more comprehensive state space model is derived and used for gain scheduling and input–output pairing using the normalized relative gain array. The focus is on temperature disturbance rejection, and appropriate tuning rules and controller structures are suggested. Simulation results show that the proposed control structure can handle various types of temperature disturbances, even in the presence of model estimation errors.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Elsevier Ltd, 2024
Keywords
Decentralized control, District heating, Smith predictor
National Category
Control Engineering
Research subject
Automatic Control
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:ltu:diva-107768 (URN)10.1016/j.jprocont.2024.103251 (DOI)001257585600001 ()2-s2.0-85195809586 (Scopus ID)
Note

Validerad;2024;Nivå 2;2024-06-27 (joosat);

Full text license: CC BY

This article has previously appeared as a manuscript in a thesis.

Available from: 2024-06-24 Created: 2024-06-24 Last updated: 2025-10-21Bibliographically approved
Zaman, A., Laila, D. S. & Birk, W. (2024). Towards Empirical Transfer Function Estimation for Frequency Domain Closed-loop System Identification. In: 10th 2024 International Conference on Control, Decision and Information Technologies, CoDIT 2024: . Paper presented at 10th International Conference on Control, Decision and Information Technologies (CODIT 2024), Vallette, Malta, July 1-4, 2024 (pp. 946-951). Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Towards Empirical Transfer Function Estimation for Frequency Domain Closed-loop System Identification
2024 (English)In: 10th 2024 International Conference on Control, Decision and Information Technologies, CoDIT 2024, Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc. , 2024, p. 946-951Conference paper, Published paper (Other academic)
Abstract [en]

This work introduces a method for closed-loop system identification using frequency analysis, employing Empirical Transfer Function Estimation (ETFE). By integrating optimization within a Monte Carlo framework, it enhances the precision of ETFE, resulting in minimized frequency response errors compared to actual system data. Leveraging controller information in an offline model fitting scheme, it achieves optimal realization of process dynamics. The method is evaluated on a data center rack-level cooling system, showing Bode magnitude plots of actual and estimated closed-loop and open-loop dynamics, with confidence intervals demonstrating algorithm consistency. Numerical evaluations confirm the feasibility and potential of the approach to improve offline closed-loop system identification performance in the frequency domain, beneficial for analysis and design. There will not be a comparative study for the introduced approach.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc., 2024
Series
International Conference on Control, Decision and Information Technologies (CoDIT), E-ISSN 2576-3555
Keywords
Empirical Transfer Function Estimate (ETFE), frequency-domain identification, frequency response function (FRF), Monte Carlo optimization
National Category
Control Engineering
Research subject
Automatic Control
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:ltu:diva-110873 (URN)10.1109/CoDIT62066.2024.10708407 (DOI)001345039100156 ()2-s2.0-85208278335 (Scopus ID)
Conference
10th International Conference on Control, Decision and Information Technologies (CODIT 2024), Vallette, Malta, July 1-4, 2024
Funder
EU, Horizon 2020, 956059
Note

ISBN for host publication: 979-8-3503-7397-4

Available from: 2024-11-29 Created: 2024-11-29 Last updated: 2025-10-21Bibliographically approved
Zaman, A., Birk, W. & Laila, D. S. (2024). Towards Empirical Transfer Function Estimation for Model Fitting in Closed-loop System Identification. In: : . Paper presented at European Control Conference, Stockholm, Sweden, June 25-28, 2024.
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Towards Empirical Transfer Function Estimation for Model Fitting in Closed-loop System Identification
2024 (English)Conference paper (Refereed)
National Category
Control Engineering
Research subject
Automatic Control
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:ltu:diva-103554 (URN)
Conference
European Control Conference, Stockholm, Sweden, June 25-28, 2024
Funder
EU, Horizon 2020, 956059
Available from: 2024-01-09 Created: 2024-01-09 Last updated: 2025-10-21
Jafari, S. R., Khaki-Sedigh, A. & Birk, W. (2023). Adaptive multi-objective control allocation with online actuator selection for over-actuated systems. International Journal of Dynamics and Control, 11(3), 1220-1229
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Adaptive multi-objective control allocation with online actuator selection for over-actuated systems
2023 (English)In: International Journal of Dynamics and Control, ISSN 2195-268X, E-ISSN 2195-2698, Vol. 11, no 3, p. 1220-1229Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

This paper presents an adaptive control allocation technique for over-actuated systems. The online actuator selection algorithm is used to select the best group of actuators. Also, a multi-objective cost function is utilized for the allocation unit. The virtual and actual control signals in the control allocation methodologies are linked by the effectiveness matrix. In many practical systems, the elements of the effectiveness matrix may vary due to changing operating conditions, nonlinearities, ageing, disturbances and faults. Hence, an online algorithm for estimation of the entries of the effectiveness matrix is presented in this paper. Estimation of the effectiveness matrix will be used for the proposed adaptive actuator selection strategy, employing the Actuator Effectiveness Index (AEI). The AEI is calculated for all the actuators, and the best group of actuators will be subsequently selected. Finally, simulation results are used to show the effectiveness of the proposed methodology.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Springer Nature, 2023
Keywords
Adaptive control allocation, Actuator selection, Over-actuated systems, Multi-objective control allocation
National Category
Signal Processing
Research subject
Automatic Control
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:ltu:diva-93596 (URN)10.1007/s40435-022-01054-9 (DOI)001074766700025 ()2-s2.0-85139657863 (Scopus ID)
Note

Validerad;2023;Nivå 1;2023-06-29 (sofila);

Available from: 2022-10-13 Created: 2022-10-13 Last updated: 2025-10-21Bibliographically approved
Birk, W., Hostettler, R., Razi, M., Atta, K. & Tammia, R. (2022). Automatic generation and updating of process industrial digital twins for estimation and control - A review. Frontiers in Control Engineering, 3, Article ID 954858.
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Automatic generation and updating of process industrial digital twins for estimation and control - A review
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2022 (English)In: Frontiers in Control Engineering, E-ISSN 2673-6268, Vol. 3, article id 954858Article, review/survey (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

This review aims at assessing the opportunities and challenges of creating and using digital twins for process industrial systems over their life-cycle in the context of estimation and control. The scope is, therefore, to provide a survey on mechanisms to generate models for process industrial systems using machine learning (purely data-driven) and automated equation-based modeling. In particular, we consider learning, validation, and updating of large-scale (i.e., plant-wide or plant-stage but not component-wide) equation-based process models. These aspects are discussed in relation to typical application cases for the digital twins creating value for users both on the operational and planning level for process industrial systems. These application cases are also connected to the needed technologies and the maturity of those as given by the state of the art. Combining all aspects, a way forward to enable the automatic generation and updating of digital twins is proposed, outlining the required research and development activities. The paper is the outcome of the research project AutoTwin-PRE funded by Strategic Innovation Program PiiA within the Swedish Innovation Agency VINNOVA and the academic version of an industry report prior published by PiiA.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Frontiers Media S.A., 2022
Keywords
model generation, model update, digital twin, automatic, control, estimation, process control
National Category
Control Engineering
Research subject
Automatic Control
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:ltu:diva-94236 (URN)10.3389/fcteg.2022.954858 (DOI)
Funder
Vinnova, 2020-02816
Note

Godkänd;2022;Nivå 0;2022-11-23 (joosat);

Available from: 2022-11-23 Created: 2022-11-23 Last updated: 2025-10-21Bibliographically approved
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