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Evaluating fuel switching options in the Swedish iron and steel industry under increased competition for forest biomass
Luleå tekniska universitet, Institutionen för teknikvetenskap och matematik, Energivetenskap.ORCID-id: 0000-0001-5496-5535
Luleå tekniska universitet, Institutionen för ekonomi, teknik, konst och samhälle, Samhällsvetenskap.ORCID-id: 0000-0001-7303-7769
Luleå tekniska universitet, Institutionen för ekonomi, teknik, konst och samhälle, Samhällsvetenskap.ORCID-id: 0000-0002-5194-4197
Luleå tekniska universitet, Institutionen för teknikvetenskap och matematik, Energivetenskap. International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), A-2361 Laxenburg, Austria.ORCID-id: 0000-0002-4597-4082
2022 (engelsk)Inngår i: Applied Energy, ISSN 0306-2619, E-ISSN 1872-9118, Vol. 324, artikkel-id 119878Artikkel i tidsskrift (Fagfellevurdert) Published
Abstract [en]

Significant use of forest biomass in the iron and steel industry (ISI) to mitigate fossil CO2 emissions will affect the biomass availability for other users of the same resource. This paper explores the market effects of increased forest biomass competition when promoting the use of forest-based bio-products in the ISI, as well as the interactions between the ISI and the forest industries. We employ a soft-linking approach that combines a geographically explicit techno-economic energy system model and an economic partial equilibrium model of the forest industries and forestry sectors. This allows for iterative endogenous modelling of new equilibrium price developments for different biomass assortments, determining locational choice of bio-products and assessing optimal bio-products technology choices. The results indicate an upward pressure on biomass prices when bio-products are introduced in the ISI (up to 62%), which affects both forest industries and the ISI itself. Prudence is thus warranted not to render bio-production investments uneconomical ex-post by neglecting to include potential price effects in investment decisions. The estimated price effects can be mitigated by increased domestic biomass supply, adjustments of international trade or by revising relevant policies. Even though the results suggest that the price effects will affect the geographical preferences for individual bio-production plants, proximity to the ISI production facility and integration benefits are more important than the proximity to cheaper biomass feedstocks. Product gas production integrated at ISI sites emerges as particularly attractive, while charcoal production exhibits sensitivity to fluctuating markets, both regarding resulting cost for the ISI, and preferred production locations.

sted, utgiver, år, opplag, sider
Elsevier, 2022. Vol. 324, artikkel-id 119878
Emneord [en]
Iron and steel industry, Soft-linking, Energy system modelling, Forest sector modelling, Biomass competition
HSV kategori
Forskningsprogram
Energiteknik; Nationalekonomi
Identifikatorer
URN: urn:nbn:se:ltu:diva-92955DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2022.119878ISI: 000858743200006Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85136619174OAI: oai:DiVA.org:ltu-92955DiVA, id: diva2:1695382
Forskningsfinansiär
Swedish Energy Agency, 42194-1Bio4Energy
Merknad

Validerad;2022;Nivå 2;2022-09-13 (joosat);

Tilgjengelig fra: 2022-09-13 Laget: 2022-09-13 Sist oppdatert: 2025-10-21bibliografisk kontrollert

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Nwachukwu, Chinedu MaureenOlofsson, EliasLundmark, RobertWetterlund, Elisabeth

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