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Climate change impacts assessment on railway infrastructure in urban environments
Luleå University of Technology, Department of Civil, Environmental and Natural Resources Engineering, Operation, Maintenance and Acoustics.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-7272-0352
Luleå University of Technology, Department of Civil, Environmental and Natural Resources Engineering, Operation, Maintenance and Acoustics.ORCID iD: 0000-0003-2976-5229
Luleå University of Technology, Department of Civil, Environmental and Natural Resources Engineering, Operation, Maintenance and Acoustics.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-0216-5058
Luleå University of Technology, Department of Civil, Environmental and Natural Resources Engineering, Operation, Maintenance and Acoustics. Swedish Transport Administration, Luleå, Sweden.ORCID iD: 0000-0001-9843-5819
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2024 (English)In: Sustainable cities and society, ISSN 2210-6707, Vol. 101, article id 105084Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Climate change impacts can escalate the deteriorating rate of infrastructures and impact the infrastructure’s functionality, safety, operation and maintenance (O&M). This research explores climate change’s influence on urban railway infrastructure. Given the geographical diversity of Sweden, the railway network is divided into different climate zones utilizing the K-means algorithm. Reliability analysis using the Cox Proportional Hazard Model is proposed to integrate meteorological parameters and operational factors to predict the degree of impacts of different climatic parameters on railway infrastructure assets. The proposed methodology is validated by selecting a number of switches and crossings (S&Cs), which are critical components in railways for changing the route, located in different urban railway stations across various climate zones in Sweden. The study explores various databases and proposes a climatic feature to identify climate-related risks of S&C assets. Furthermore, different meteorological covariates are analyzed to understand better the dependency between asset health and meteorological parameters. Infrastructure asset managers can tailor suitable climate adaptation measures based on geographical location, asset age, and other life cycle parameters by identifying vulnerable assets and determining significant covariates. Sensitivity analysis of significant covariates at one of the urban railway stations shows precipitation increment reveal considerable variation in the asset reliability.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Elsevier, 2024. Vol. 101, article id 105084
Keywords [en]
Climate change adaptation, Reliability analysis, Cox proportional hazard model, Railway infrastructure
National Category
Other Civil Engineering Meteorology and Atmospheric Sciences
Research subject
Operation and Maintenance Engineering
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:ltu:diva-103152DOI: 10.1016/j.scs.2023.105084ISI: 001128086800001Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85178449130OAI: oai:DiVA.org:ltu-103152DiVA, id: diva2:1816569
Funder
Vinnova, 2021- 02456, 2019-03181The Kempe Foundations, JCK-2215
Note

Validerad;2023;Nivå 2;2023-12-04 (joosat);

License full text: CC BY 4.0

Available from: 2023-12-04 Created: 2023-12-04 Last updated: 2025-10-21Bibliographically approved

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Kasraei, AhmadGarmabaki, Amir Hossein SoleimaniOdelius, JohanFamurewa, Stephen MayowaChamkhorami, Khosro Soleimani

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Kasraei, AhmadGarmabaki, Amir Hossein SoleimaniOdelius, JohanFamurewa, Stephen MayowaChamkhorami, Khosro Soleimani
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CiteExportLink to record
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Citation style
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