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Climate-conditioned prediction of bridge load-test in Northern Sweden
Luleå University of Technology, Department of Civil, Environmental and Natural Resources Engineering, Structural and Fire Engineering.ORCID iD: 0009-0006-3664-3608
Luleå University of Technology, Department of Civil, Environmental and Natural Resources Engineering, Structural and Fire Engineering.ORCID iD: 0000-0003-3548-6082
Luleå University of Technology, Department of Civil, Environmental and Natural Resources Engineering, Structural and Fire Engineering.ORCID iD: 0000-0003-0089-8140
Luleå University of Technology, Department of Civil, Environmental and Natural Resources Engineering, Structural and Fire Engineering.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-0560-9355
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2026 (English)In: Moving Toward Smart, Resilient and Sustainable Bridges / [ed] F. Necati Catbas; Dan M. Frangopol; Hae-Bum Yun, CRC Press, 2026, p. 1104-1112Conference paper, Published paper (Refereed)
Abstract [en]

Load tests are one of the most powerful tools for bridge assessment, revealing true system behavior, calibrating models, and building public confidence. However, temperature and thermal gradient effects, especially in sub-arctic climates, pose a significant challenge, as they can dominate the structural response and make performance assessments harder to interpret. This paper addresses this challenge by analyzing a unique dataset from a prestressed concrete bridge, comprising five years of multi-sensor SHM data and a final, controlled load test before its demolition. We present a climate-aware, hybrid-modelling workflow that separates temperature-driven responses from vehicle-induced effects. By systematically normalizing the predicted responses to a defined reference climate, the methodology demonstrates tangible benefits, as reflected in discernible variations in owner-facing performance metrics. Furthermore, an “error vs https://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" display="inline">ΔT ” analysis is proposed to highlight the relationship between thermal gradients and prediction accuracy, offering additional insights into the robustness and applicability of the climate-conditioned model. 

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
CRC Press, 2026. p. 1104-1112
National Category
Infrastructure Engineering
Research subject
Structural Engineering
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:ltu:diva-119667DOI: 10.1201/9781003778677-132OAI: oai:DiVA.org:ltu-119667DiVA, id: diva2:2099077
Conference
13th International Conference on Bridge Maintenance, Safety and Management, Orlando, Florida, USA, July 7-10, 2026
Note

ISBN for host publication: 9781041311737, 9781041313687, 9781003778677 

Available from: 2026-09-07 Created: 2026-09-07 Last updated: 2026-09-07Bibliographically approved

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Coric, VedadGonzalez-Libreros, JaimeWang, ChaoElfgren, LennartSas, Gabriel

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