Change search
CiteExportLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf
Robust Multi-Step Predictor for Electricity Markets with Real-Time Pricing
Centre for Data Analytics and Cognition, La Trobe University, Bundoora, VIC 3083, Australia.
Centre for Data Analytics and Cognition, La Trobe University, Bundoora, VIC 3083, Australia.
Department of Electrical Engineering and Automation, School of Electrical Engineering, Aalto University, FI-00076 Espoo, Finland.
Centre for Data Analytics and Cognition, La Trobe University, Bundoora, VIC 3083, Australia.
Show others and affiliations
2021 (English)In: Energies, E-ISSN 1996-1073, Vol. 14, no 14, article id 4378Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Real-time electricity pricing mechanisms are emerging as a key component of the smart grid. However, prior work has not fully addressed the challenges of multi-step prediction (Predicting multiple time steps into the future) that is accurate, robust and real-time. This paper proposes a novel Artificial Intelligence-based approach, Robust Intelligent Price Prediction in Real-time (RIPPR), that overcomes these challenges. RIPPR utilizes Variational Mode Decomposition (VMD) to transform the spot price data stream into sub-series that are optimized for robustness using the particle swarm optimization (PSO) algorithm. These sub-series are inputted to a Random Vector Functional Link neural network algorithm for real-time multi-step prediction. A mirror extension removal of VMD, including continuous and discrete spaces in the PSO, is a further novel contribution that improves the effectiveness of RIPPR. The superiority of the proposed RIPPR is demonstrated using three empirical studies of multi-step price prediction of the Australian electricity market.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
MDPI, 2021. Vol. 14, no 14, article id 4378
Keywords [en]
demand response, real-time pricing, prosumers, electricity price forecasting, particle swarm optimization
National Category
Communication Systems
Research subject
Dependable Communication and Computation Systems
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:ltu:diva-86531DOI: 10.3390/en14144378ISI: 000676668500001Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85111419346OAI: oai:DiVA.org:ltu-86531DiVA, id: diva2:1583453
Note

Validerad;2021;Nivå 2;2021-08-06 (beamah)

Available from: 2021-08-06 Created: 2021-08-06 Last updated: 2025-10-21Bibliographically approved

Open Access in DiVA

No full text in DiVA

Other links

Publisher's full textScopus

Authority records

Osipov, EvgenyVyatkin, Valeriy

Search in DiVA

By author/editor
Osipov, EvgenyVyatkin, Valeriy
By organisation
Computer Science
In the same journal
Energies
Communication Systems

Search outside of DiVA

GoogleGoogle Scholar

doi
urn-nbn

Altmetric score

doi
urn-nbn
Total: 101 hits
CiteExportLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf