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Data-Driven Decisions for Road Maintenance – A Machine Learning Approach
Luleå University of Technology, Department of Computer Science, Electrical and Space Engineering, Digital Services and Systems.
Luleå University of Technology, Department of Computer Science, Electrical and Space Engineering, Digital Services and Systems.ORCID iD: 0000-0003-4250-4752
Luleå University of Technology, Department of Computer Science, Electrical and Space Engineering, Digital Services and Systems.
2025 (English)In: Information Management: 11th International Conference, ICIM 2025 London, UK, March 28–30, 2025 Revised Selected Papers, Part I / [ed] Shuliang Li, Springer, 2025, p. 368-384Conference paper, Published paper (Refereed)
Abstract [en]

Industry 4.0 and the increasing use of artificial intelligence and machine learning have allowed the analysis of large amounts of data and improve performance across many businesses and sectors. These sectors have significantly increased their reliance on data when making decisions. This paper examines the use of data-driven decision-making on road maintenance planning in Sweden. Data related to road maintenance following the Swedish Road Maintenance Standard, were collected focusing on the International Roughness Index (IRI) and rut depth as primary features. Analyzing such data enabled the identification of maintenance needs within three separate timeframes: immediate, the next five years, and long-term. The model predicted maintenance needs based on the IRI with up to 96% accuracy. However, the model's accuracy dropped to only 67% when predicting maintenance needs over the next five years. In contrast, the model that predicted maintenance needs based on rut depth demonstrated high accuracy across all three timeframes, achieving up to 92% accuracy. The model demonstrated that modern road condition variables are crucial to prediction. In terms of predictions, 2023 IRI measurements were the most important. Based on our findings, this paper improves data-driven decision-making in Swedish road maintenance, resulting in more effective resource allocation and decreased emergency maintenance expenses. Moreover, the study highlights the value of collecting and utilizing more accurate and thorough road state data to enhance these models.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Springer, 2025. p. 368-384
Series
Communications in Computer and Information Science (CCIS), ISSN 1865-0929, E-ISSN 1865-0937 ; 540
National Category
Infrastructure Engineering
Research subject
Information Systems
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:ltu:diva-110767DOI: 10.1007/978-3-031-99353-4_32Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-105015823753OAI: oai:DiVA.org:ltu-110767DiVA, id: diva2:1914956
Conference
11th International Conference on Information Management (ICIM 2025), London, UK, March 28-30, 2025
Note

ISBN for host publication:  978-3-031-99352-7, 978-3-031-99353-4

Available from: 2024-11-20 Created: 2024-11-20 Last updated: 2025-10-21Bibliographically approved

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Elragal, Ahmed

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