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Cognitive bias in perceived concern with rainfall: Implications for climate adaptation
Luleå University of Technology, Department of Health, Education and Technology, Health, Medicine and Rehabilitation.ORCID iD: 0000-0003-2492-9933
Department of Building Engineering, Energy Systems and Sustainability Science, University of Gävle, Gävle, Sweden.
Luleå University of Technology, Department of Health, Education and Technology, Health, Medicine and Rehabilitation. Department of Building Engineering, Energy Systems and Sustainability Science, University of Gävle, Gävle, Sweden.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-7584-2275
2025 (English)In: Journal of Environmental Psychology, ISSN 0272-4944, E-ISSN 1522-9610, Vol. 106, article id 102737Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Rainfall data usually comprise large sets of complex information, with data points spread across both time and space. To be understood, such environmentally significant data must be integrated—but distribution shapes can bias this integration process. Distribution biases can lead to differing levels of concern with rainfall, and in turn, alter the perceived importance of climate adaptation measures. In three experiments, participants reported greater concern about rainfall and reported stronger climate adaptation intentions when rainfall distributions were negatively skewed compared to positively skewed, even though both distributions contained identical total rainfall. This cognitive bias from skewed distributions persisted in both retrospective judgments of entire stimulus sets, and in evaluations of additional instances of rainfall, and it depended on foreknowledge of stimulus context (i.e., the shape and endpoints of the distribution). The results demonstrate how cognitive bias can influence the formation of environmental attitudes.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Elsevier, 2025. Vol. 106, article id 102737
Keywords [en]
Stimulus structures, Environmental attitudes, Context, Skewness, Extreme weather
National Category
Psychology (Excluding Applied Psychology)
Research subject
Psychology
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:ltu:diva-114462DOI: 10.1016/j.jenvp.2025.102737ISI: 001566257200001Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-105014651997OAI: oai:DiVA.org:ltu-114462DiVA, id: diva2:1992453
Funder
Riksbankens Jubileumsfond, P23-0067Vinnova, 2021–02361The Kempe Foundations, JCSMK23-0179
Note

Validerad;2025;Nivå 2;2025-10-22 (u4);

Full text license: CC BY

Available from: 2025-08-27 Created: 2025-08-27 Last updated: 2025-11-28Bibliographically approved

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Skog, EmilSörqvist, Patrik

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