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Advanced machine learning for pillar stress prediction and design optimisation in hardrock platinum mining: enhancing safety and sustainability on the Great Dyke of Zimbabwe
Luleå University of Technology, Department of Civil, Environmental and Natural Resources Engineering, Mining and Geotechnical Engineering. Department of Mining Engineering and Mine Surveying, University of Johannesburg, Johannesburg, South Africa.ORCID iD: 0000-0003-1014-0405
Department of Mining Engineering and Mine Surveying, University of Johannesburg, Johannesburg, South Africa.
Luleå University of Technology, Department of Civil, Environmental and Natural Resources Engineering, Mining and Geotechnical Engineering.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-3044-5049
Zimbabwe Platinum Mines, Harare, Zimbabwe.
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2025 (English)In: Geomechanics and Geophysics for Geo-Energy and Geo-Resources, ISSN 2363-8419, E-ISSN 2363-8427, Vol. 11, no 1, article id 113Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

This study advances pillar stress prediction and design optimisation in hardrock platinum mining on the Great Dyke of Zimbabwe using advanced machine learning (ML) techniques, addressing significant gaps in traditional methods. Utilising Gradient Boosting Machine (GBM), XGBoost, NGBoost, Random Forest, and AdaBoost, the research evaluated a dataset of 503 observed practical insitu pillars, incorporating key features such as Depth Below Surface (DBS), Actual Panel Width, and Actual Extraction Ratio (AER). GBM and XGBoost emerged as top performers, achieving R2 scores of 99.58% and 99.44%, respectively, with GBM exhibiting an MSE of 0.3094 and RMSE of 0.5563. NGBoost added value with predictive uncertainty, enhancing risk management frameworks. The study also highlights feature importance, emphasising DBS, AER, and Actual Pillar Area as critical predictors, ensuring robust and site-specific design solutions. Practical outcomes include a 15% reduction in material overdesign and a 20% improvement in identifying high-risk pillars, contributing to safer and more efficient operations. Integration with real-time monitoring systems enabled dynamic adjustments, reducing pillar failure risks by 30% under evolving conditions. This research, the first of its kind on the Great Dyke, demonstrates the transformative potential of ML in mining engineering, providing a framework for safer, economically viable, and sustainable operations. This study paves the way for leveraging ML to tackle complex geological and geotechnical challenges in global mining projects by addressing predictive accuracy and uncertainty.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Springer Nature, 2025. Vol. 11, no 1, article id 113
Keywords [en]
Pillar stress, Hardrock platinum mining, Great Dyke of Zimbabwe, GBM, XGBoost, NGBoost, RF, AdaBoost, Machine learning
National Category
Mineral and Mine Engineering
Research subject
Mining and Rock Engineering
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:ltu:diva-115122DOI: 10.1007/s40948-025-00990-yISI: 001586425300001Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-105018054756OAI: oai:DiVA.org:ltu-115122DiVA, id: diva2:2006446
Note

Validerad;2025;Nivå 2;2025-11-27 (u5);

Full text license: CC BY;

Funder: University of Johannesburg, South Africa

Available from: 2025-10-14 Created: 2025-10-14 Last updated: 2025-11-28Bibliographically approved

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Zvarivadza, TawandaRajpurohit, Sohan Singh

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